Michelle Obama preparing to campaign for Clinton

Michelle Obama preparing to campaign for Clinton

Michelle Obama preparing to campaign for Clinton

The topsy-turvy campaign for the presidency has seen both Clinton and Trump holding a significant lead at some point in the last two months, though Clinton has topped Trump more often than not.

Trump tops Clinton 45 percent to 43 percent in the new survey, with Libertarian Gary Johnson standing at 7 percent among likely voters in this poll and the Green Party's Jill Stein at just 2 percent.

The difference, Cruz adviser Chris Wilson said, is that the Texas senator had a sophisticated campaign operation to identify those voters and reach them; Trump doesn't.

Most voters see Clinton's family foundation, which has come under sharp criticism from Trump over how donors to the foundation interacted with Clinton while she was secretary of state, as an organization that should be shuttered if Clinton is elected to avoid possible conflict of interest, with a sizable share saying it should be closed down now.

"Hillary with her serial dishonesty and corruption allegations, and Trump, just with everything - people are still trying to make that determination about both of them: Are either of these people qualified to do the job?" said Republican pollster Dan Judy of North Star Opinion Research.

The Connecticut-based Quinnipiac, which frequently conducts polls in Florida and other states, surveyed 761 likely Florida voters from August 29 to Wednesday. A CNN/ORC poll this week found Trump near even with Clinton among likely voters nationwide.

"There's no question you've got two candidates who are both underwater on their favorables right now", Joel Benenson, Clinton's chief strategist and pollster, said by way of explaining the appeal of Johnson and Stein.

But, Wilson added, "Who am I to criticize him?"

Two additional, major polls published Tuesday - a national poll by Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald, and a tracking poll by NBC/SurveyMonkey - showed basically no change in Clinton's lead in the race going back months.

Clinton now enjoys 48 percent support while Trump maintains 42 percent - the same margin as last week.

These early ad reservations are critical for any campaign because they can lock in a lower rate by purchasing time in advance; closer to Election Day, the same amount of ad time will cost more. That looks like it might have started among 2016 undecideds, but it's more subtle.

That could be contributing to Trump's slim advantage among likely voters. In a four-way matchup between all the presidential nominees, Clinton only has a 3.2 percent edge. He's gone from 37 percent support then to 41 percent among registered voters now.

If those states are taken out of the equation, Clinton still holds a substantial lead over Trump, but it drops to 258 vs. 164 electoral votes.

Trump also suggested that something ominous had happened to Bryan Pagliano, the IT worker who maintained Clinton's server and invoked the fifth amendment in lieu of testifying to Congress on the matter.

Clinton stopped short of using the term cyber-war, but sternly described the Russian interference as "a threat from an adversarial foreign power".

Clinton leads Trump by more than four points in 20 states, including Washington DC, Colorado, North Carolina, Florida, Mississippi plus the District of Columbia, giving her a solid base of 244 electoral college votes, just short of the 270 needed to win, the poll indicated. The emails, later revealed by WikiLeaks, showed some DNC officials favoring Clinton over her primary opponent, Bernie Sanders - who has since endorsed Clinton for president.

"I'm ready. I'm more than ready", she said of the intense battle ahead as she attempts to become the first female USA commander in chief.

On honesty, Clinton's backers express greater skepticism about their candidate than do Trump's supporters. Results have an error estimate of plus or minus 1.0 percentage points.

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